Why Ethiopia Is Central to Safaricom’s Regional Strategy

Ethiopia is emerging as a major infrastructure and digital expansion market for Safaricom.


Safaricom used its FY2026 results presentation to frame Ethiopia as a long-duration infrastructure project tied to digital systems, network reach and future platform growth across East Africa. The company’s commentary around the market focused heavily on scale-building, operational groundwork and ecosystem expansion rather than near-term profitability targets.

That distinction matters because most reporting around Ethiopia has centred on subscriber additions, competition and narrowing losses. The FY2026 presentation described something broader. Executives repeatedly linked the Ethiopian business to infrastructure depth, distribution reach and long-term ecosystem development.

The operation reached 13.6 million subscribers during the financial year, supported by 3,504 active network sites across the country. Safaricom also said the network now covers roughly 60% of Ethiopia’s population. Those figures point to a business still in heavy construction mode, where physical reach and systems deployment remain central priorities.

The scale of that buildout reflects the economics of entering one of Africa’s largest telecom markets from the ground up. Infrastructure expansion in Ethiopia requires spectrum deployment, tower rollout, distribution partnerships, regulatory coordination and financial service integration simultaneously. Unlike mature telecom markets where operators mainly compete for existing users, Ethiopia still requires foundational network expansion in many regions.

That changes how investment timelines are measured.

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During the presentation, executives described improving commercial momentum and lower startup losses compared to the previous financial period. The language suggested a company tracking operational maturity indicators rather than pushing immediate profitability narratives.

Chairman Adil Khawaja said the Ethiopian business was beginning to benefit from scale effects as network expansion continued. The comment aligned with a broader pattern visible across the briefing, where management repeatedly discussed systems growth and infrastructure capacity as long-term assets.

The Ethiopian operation also appears closely tied to Safaricom’s wider regional strategy around digital platforms and financial services. In Kenya, the company’s growth over the past decade increasingly came from integrating payments, connectivity and digital service infrastructure into a single ecosystem. The presentation suggested that Ethiopia may eventually follow a similar path, although under very different regulatory and market conditions.

That process takes time because telecom infrastructure alone does not create ecosystem depth. Operators also require merchant adoption, payment integration, consumer trust, agent distribution and institutional partnerships before digital platforms achieve meaningful scale.

The Ethiopian market presents additional operational complexity due to its size and regulatory environment. Telecom liberalisation remains relatively recent, while infrastructure rollout across a geographically large population requires sustained capital deployment over multiple years.

Safaricom executives repeatedly returned to long-term positioning during the FY2026 briefing. The company’s commentary treated Ethiopia as a strategic infrastructure market capable of supporting future digital services and regional platform expansion rather than a short-cycle earnings contributor.

That framing mirrors a broader trend across African telecom operators, where growth increasingly depends on ecosystem control rather than connectivity alone. Network ownership remains important, but long-term value increasingly sits in payments, enterprise systems, APIs, cloud-linked services and digital transaction infrastructure.

In Ethiopia, Safaricom is still building the physical and operational foundations required for that broader ecosystem to emerge.

The company’s FY2026 presentation offered one of the clearest indications yet that management sees Ethiopia as a long-horizon infrastructure investment whose significance extends beyond subscriber growth or quarterly financial performance.

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By George Kamau

I brunch on consumer tech. Send scoops to george@techtrendsmedia.co.ke
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